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Trail Mix, the campaign blog of the Winston-Salem Journal, is a conversation about North Carolina's elections in 2008. Come here for news and analysis on the U.S. Senate race, the governor's race and all the other statewide races.
Trail Mix is written by James Romoser, the Journal's Raleigh reporter. Got a tip? E-mail me at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address).
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“It’s ironic that the urban areas defeated an urban candidate.”
—Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory, on his narrow loss to Bev Perdue in the race for governor
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Forsyth Is a County to Watch
If North Carolina is an important battleground for the nation, Forsyth County could be a battleground in microcosm.
Democratic pollster Tom Jensen says that Forsyth County is a key county to watch tonight. Along with nine other counties, it could be a good barometer because its county-wide vote totals almost exactly mirrored the state-wide totals in the presidential race four years ago.
“So if these [county results] come in and Obama is winning them, even by a small amount, that’s a pretty good omen for his overall prospects in the state,” Jensen writes on his blog.
Jensen, who works for the N.C. polling firm Public Policy Polling, also notes that Obama’s performance in North Carolina depends on his ability to expand turnout in urban areas, like Winston-Salem, and win over former Bush voters in growing suburban areas, like those surrounding Winston-Salem.